WOLLF: the definitive open-fracture trial, and it is null
What it found
| Outcome | NPWT | Standard | Effect (95% CI) | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disability Rating Index at 12 months (primary; MCID 8) | 45.5 (SD 28.0), n 179 | 42.4 (SD 24.2), n 195 | adjusted −3.9 (−8.9 to +1.2) | .13 |
| DRI at 3 / 6 / 9 months | — | — | +0.7 / −3.5 / −4.4, all crossing 0 | .76 / .17 / .13 |
| Deep surgical site infection, 30 days | 16/226 (7.1%) | 19/234 (8.1%) | OR 0.85 (0.42–1.70); RD 1.0% (−4.2 to +6.3); RR recomputed 0.87 | .64 |
| Wound healed at 6 weeks (photographs) | 91/175 (52.0%) | 93/180 (51.7%) | OR 1.0 (0.6–1.6) | .99 |
| Bone union at 12 months (radiographs) | 112/161 (69.6%) | 110/153 (71.9%) | OR 1.1 (0.7–1.9) | .68 |
| EQ-5D-3L at 12 months | 0.55 (0.33) | 0.56 (0.32) | 0.01 (−0.06 to 0.07) | — |
| SF-12 physical / mental | 32.2 / — | 32.7 / — | 0.4 (−3.0 to 3.8) / −0.4 (−2.2 to 1.4) | .82 / — |
| Per-protocol DRI | — | — | −4.0 (−9.1 to +1.0) | .12 |
Negative numbers favour the standard dressing. The sign convention is the paper's: NPWT minus control, so a positive difference favours NPWT.
Limitations
- Unblinded, patient-reported primary outcome (unavoidable; direction of any bias unknown, and it did not produce a benefit).
- Post-randomisation consent; 165 of 625 excluded before analysis.
- 88% follow-up on the primary outcome.
- Deep infection is imprecise for a modest effect (35 events).
- UK ortho-plastic pathway; transfer to a slower pathway is an inference.
- Held from the JAMA PDF; the HTA monograph and the Petrou economic paper are further reports of the same trial and must be counted once.
Appraisal and reference
CAT: OCEBM 1 · Randomisation and concealment: strong — computer-generated, trials-unit delivered, stratified by centre and Gustilo grade, assigned intraoperatively. BLINDING: patients and surgeons could not be blinded and the primary outcome is self-reported disability; this is the main source of concern, but its direction is unknowable and the trial's own answer is that the unblinded patients reported no benefit from the visible device, which is not the direction an expectation effect would push. POST-RANDOMISATION CONSENT: 625 randomised, 460 analysed. The authors report that most non-consenters were found ineligible after randomisation (primary closure, permanent cognitive impairment) and that only 29 eligible patients declined; the consented arms are balanced on Table 1. RoB 2 some concerns overall. ATTRITION: 88% (374/427) primary outcome completion, with mixed-effects modelling of the repeated measures. Precision on the primary outcome is the point: 460 patients powered at 90% for an 8-point MCID; the adjusted interval of minus 8.9 to plus 1.2 excludes an 8-point benefit at its upper bound. That is HIGH certainty that a clinically important benefit does not exist. The lower bound does not exclude an 8-point harm; the trial cannot rule that out and the authors say so. DEEP INFECTION is imprecise for a modest effect — 35 events in total, OR 0.85 (0.42-1.70), rate difference 1.0% (minus 4.2 to plus 6.3) — so MODERATE: a large effect is excluded, a small one is not. Healing at 6 weeks (OR 1.0, 0.6-1.6) and UNION (OR 1.1, 0.7-1.9) are flat and adequately precise for the sizes of effect anyone claims. GENERALISABILITY: 85% Gustilo III, 82% tibia, 24 UK major trauma centres with joint orthoplastic services and NPWT as delivered at clinician discretion — this is the population and setting in which NPWT for open fractures is actually used, which is why the result transfers. INDIRECTNESS to a South African trauma service is modest: the intervention is the same, the comparator (a standard dressing between debridements) is the same, and the ortho-plastic pathway may be slower here, which would if anything favour a bridging dressing and did not appear in the UK data. RETRACTION SCREEN: PubMed record for PMID 29896626 checked 2026-09-14 — no Retracted Publication and no Expression of Concern.
Figures: Figures checked